Race 1B

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carter Pemberton 19.0% 17.7% 16.5% 14.5% 11.3% 8.3% 6.3% 3.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Jordan 6.5% 6.5% 8.2% 9.7% 12.3% 9.6% 10.1% 10.9% 11.0% 7.3% 5.7% 1.9% 0.3%
Samuel Shea 10.1% 13.9% 13.7% 11.9% 11.9% 12.9% 9.7% 7.0% 5.1% 2.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Cameron Holley 28.8% 22.1% 17.2% 13.1% 8.7% 4.7% 3.8% 0.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 7.9% 7.0% 9.1% 10.7% 9.6% 11.1% 11.0% 10.4% 9.5% 7.3% 4.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Joe Menesale 5.8% 5.6% 7.6% 8.3% 9.5% 10.6% 10.8% 12.2% 8.7% 9.9% 7.4% 3.4% 0.2%
Solomon Tarlin 9.4% 10.6% 9.8% 10.3% 10.9% 12.6% 11.5% 8.0% 8.3% 4.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.1%
Jack Gould 4.1% 5.2% 5.2% 6.2% 6.9% 8.2% 10.0% 12.7% 12.2% 12.2% 9.8% 6.0% 1.3%
Benton Croop 2.2% 3.5% 3.9% 4.6% 4.2% 5.3% 6.4% 9.3% 12.9% 14.1% 16.3% 13.2% 4.1%
Hannah Ker 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 3.0% 4.3% 4.9% 5.2% 7.8% 9.1% 14.6% 17.6% 17.2% 9.3%
Ben Arquit 2.8% 4.0% 4.8% 5.8% 7.8% 7.7% 9.2% 12.4% 11.8% 12.6% 11.7% 7.0% 2.4%
Ross Richins 0.8% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6% 4.4% 3.8% 6.0% 8.5% 15.1% 27.4% 26.4%
Camille Britton 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.6% 1.8% 3.0% 5.0% 7.5% 21.2% 55.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.