Race 2B

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Carter Pemberton 17.9% 18.5% 18.5% 12.5% 11.5% 8.7% 6.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Samuel Shea 10.3% 13.0% 12.1% 16.0% 12.4% 9.9% 9.4% 7.5% 4.1% 3.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Hannah Ker 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 2.7% 3.7% 6.2% 6.1% 7.3% 10.1% 14.3% 18.3% 17.2% 8.8%
Cameron Holley 29.0% 22.1% 17.7% 12.7% 8.7% 5.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 7.9% 7.5% 8.7% 11.1% 10.2% 10.1% 11.5% 9.0% 9.3% 8.9% 3.7% 1.8% 0.3%
Zachary Jordan 7.0% 6.6% 9.2% 9.6% 9.6% 11.0% 11.5% 11.2% 10.0% 8.0% 3.8% 2.3% 0.2%
Solomon Tarlin 10.1% 11.1% 9.1% 10.0% 10.6% 12.2% 10.7% 8.4% 8.7% 5.5% 2.5% 1.1% 0.0%
Benton Croop 2.5% 3.3% 3.5% 3.7% 5.8% 5.7% 7.7% 10.9% 10.4% 13.9% 16.9% 12.5% 3.2%
Joe Menesale 4.7% 6.0% 6.5% 8.6% 10.2% 8.7% 12.1% 11.0% 11.6% 8.3% 8.4% 3.0% 0.9%
Ben Arquit 4.3% 3.8% 4.3% 4.6% 7.5% 7.7% 8.1% 10.2% 13.7% 12.5% 12.4% 7.5% 3.4%
Jack Gould 3.6% 4.9% 6.6% 6.5% 6.2% 10.4% 10.8% 11.9% 11.7% 11.4% 10.2% 4.0% 1.8%
Ross Richins 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 5.3% 5.2% 8.7% 13.6% 29.3% 25.9%
Camille Britton 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.2% 2.2% 3.2% 4.3% 8.2% 20.6% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.