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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami0.68+5.03vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.50+4.07vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.83+1.29vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida0.45+1.29vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida-0.16+1.99vs Predicted
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7Rollins College-0.04+0.72vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.55-4.58vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University-0.31-0.74vs Predicted
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10Rollins College-0.45-1.09vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.95-5.82vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-1.89vs Predicted
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13Embry-Riddle University-1.49-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03University of Miami0.688.1%1st Place
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3.68Jacksonville University1.4520.0%1st Place
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7.07University of South Florida0.505.2%1st Place
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5.29University of Miami0.839.6%1st Place
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6.29University of South Florida0.457.0%1st Place
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7.99University of South Florida-0.164.1%1st Place
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7.72Rollins College-0.044.5%1st Place
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3.42Jacksonville University1.5522.7%1st Place
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8.26Jacksonville University-0.313.3%1st Place
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8.91Rollins College-0.453.0%1st Place
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5.18Rollins College0.9510.4%1st Place
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10.11Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.2%1st Place
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11.04Embry-Riddle University-1.491.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Becher | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Hank Seum | 20.0% | 18.1% | 16.9% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Long | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Beatriz Newland | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Milo Fleming | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Matthew King | 22.7% | 20.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Lansford | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 6.2% |
| Zi Burns | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 10.4% |
| Milo Miller | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 23.7% | 22.3% |
| Sunny Odom | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 46.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.