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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.26+1.89vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.25-0.11vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut2.59-0.43vs Predicted
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4Bates College0.07+1.54vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-1.47vs Predicted
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6McGill University-0.38-0.07vs Predicted
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7Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.20-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Tufts University2.260.2%1st Place
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1.89Bowdoin College3.250.5%1st Place
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2.57University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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5.54Bates College0.070.0%1st Place
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3.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.1%1st Place
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5.93McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
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5.65Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Slate | 18.5% | 22.0% | 27.1% | 19.9% | 10.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| D.J. Hatch | 46.0% | 29.8% | 15.7% | 6.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Giuliano | 22.7% | 27.9% | 25.9% | 18.1% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sneath | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 27.5% | 32.3% | 24.7% |
| Guttorm Straume | 9.2% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 34.0% | 15.8% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Clement | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 19.0% | 28.1% | 42.2% |
| Brennan Ashton | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 7.8% | 21.9% | 31.8% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.