Race 3B

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Solomon Tarlin 8.4% 10.0% 9.8% 12.1% 11.6% 14.5% 11.4% 10.4% 6.3% 4.3% 1.2% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 30.4% 23.8% 18.0% 11.4% 8.1% 5.2% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Jordan 7.0% 7.5% 9.8% 9.4% 11.6% 10.4% 13.8% 12.9% 9.4% 5.7% 2.2% 0.3%
Carter Pemberton 19.9% 19.9% 18.2% 15.0% 10.4% 7.7% 4.6% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Joe Menesale 5.7% 5.7% 7.6% 9.6% 11.0% 11.5% 12.6% 11.8% 10.2% 8.6% 4.9% 0.8%
Christopher Pearson 6.9% 8.6% 8.7% 9.6% 13.0% 12.4% 12.3% 11.6% 8.7% 6.0% 2.1% 0.1%
Samuel Shea 13.3% 13.0% 14.2% 14.6% 12.8% 10.1% 9.8% 6.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Ben Arquit 3.3% 5.5% 4.5% 5.8% 8.1% 8.7% 11.2% 13.4% 14.2% 15.1% 6.6% 3.6%
Benton Croop 2.0% 2.5% 4.0% 5.3% 5.6% 9.5% 9.6% 12.9% 16.5% 16.6% 12.5% 3.0%
Ross Richins 0.8% 0.7% 2.5% 2.5% 2.3% 3.1% 2.9% 6.3% 10.4% 12.6% 29.8% 26.1%
Hannah Ker 1.9% 1.8% 2.2% 3.7% 4.4% 5.8% 7.0% 8.8% 14.7% 21.2% 19.1% 9.4%
Camille Britton 0.4% 1.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.1% 2.8% 2.9% 4.1% 7.4% 21.0% 56.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.