Race 5B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Carter Pemberton 18.8% 21.2% 17.0% 13.8% 12.7% 7.6% 4.7% 2.1% 1.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Joe Menesale 4.1% 7.4% 8.9% 8.6% 10.1% 11.7% 12.2% 13.5% 12.2% 7.2% 3.5% 0.6%
Cameron Holley 32.0% 21.3% 17.5% 13.0% 7.9% 4.9% 2.1% 0.7% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Tarlin 8.3% 9.0% 11.8% 13.4% 11.4% 12.9% 12.3% 10.1% 5.6% 4.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Zachary Jordan 6.0% 7.9% 9.6% 9.8% 12.0% 12.2% 12.3% 10.0% 9.9% 7.3% 2.4% 0.6%
Samuel Shea 12.3% 12.5% 12.8% 15.7% 13.7% 10.2% 10.9% 6.1% 3.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 7.7% 7.5% 10.5% 11.2% 11.0% 11.9% 12.0% 11.1% 8.5% 5.5% 2.4% 0.7%
Benton Croop 2.8% 4.5% 3.2% 4.6% 5.6% 7.6% 8.1% 13.7% 14.2% 17.1% 13.9% 4.7%
Hannah Ker 1.9% 2.4% 1.7% 2.8% 5.0% 7.1% 8.1% 10.2% 15.1% 20.0% 18.7% 7.0%
Ben Arquit 4.3% 4.5% 4.8% 5.5% 7.1% 8.4% 11.7% 13.4% 17.0% 12.8% 8.6% 1.9%
Ross Richins 1.3% 1.3% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 3.8% 3.6% 6.4% 7.5% 15.7% 29.9% 26.4%
Camille Britton 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 0.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 4.5% 7.4% 19.6% 57.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.