Race 6B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Carter Pemberton 20.1% 19.4% 19.2% 16.0% 9.9% 7.8% 3.7% 2.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 30.2% 27.4% 17.6% 10.8% 7.3% 4.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 7.5% 7.6% 11.3% 10.6% 11.5% 13.6% 14.3% 11.6% 7.8% 3.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Zachary Jordan 6.0% 8.2% 11.4% 10.2% 14.2% 13.3% 12.3% 10.2% 8.0% 5.0% 0.8% 0.4%
Samuel Shea 13.3% 13.1% 16.0% 14.2% 14.7% 10.8% 8.2% 4.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Camille Britton 0.7% 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.5% 2.4% 3.1% 4.2% 5.5% 9.9% 23.3% 47.4%
Ellie McGlynn 1.5% 1.5% 1.0% 2.3% 2.0% 3.5% 4.4% 5.8% 10.9% 18.7% 25.0% 23.4%
Joe Menesale 6.9% 7.0% 8.0% 11.2% 9.7% 12.8% 12.5% 12.6% 10.9% 5.9% 1.8% 0.7%
Hannah Ker 2.3% 1.9% 2.3% 4.4% 5.6% 7.3% 9.0% 14.1% 16.7% 18.2% 13.3% 4.9%
John Wetzel 6.1% 7.2% 8.1% 11.6% 10.8% 12.0% 14.1% 12.5% 10.1% 4.8% 2.2% 0.5%
Ross Richins 1.2% 1.5% 1.1% 1.3% 2.7% 3.5% 4.3% 6.3% 11.1% 19.6% 26.8% 20.6%
Ben Arquit 4.2% 4.5% 3.4% 6.7% 10.1% 8.4% 12.5% 14.9% 14.9% 12.9% 5.6% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.