Race 7B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Carter Pemberton 20.3% 19.6% 19.1% 15.9% 10.0% 7.9% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 31.9% 26.8% 15.3% 11.4% 8.1% 4.4% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Shea 14.0% 12.6% 15.0% 12.4% 16.2% 12.1% 9.3% 5.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 5.8% 8.6% 10.4% 13.0% 12.5% 12.2% 12.9% 12.5% 6.9% 4.2% 0.8% 0.2%
Zachary Jordan 7.0% 7.9% 9.2% 12.8% 11.3% 13.3% 13.6% 9.7% 9.0% 4.3% 1.8% 0.1%
John Wetzel 5.4% 8.1% 8.7% 8.1% 12.7% 11.3% 14.1% 12.8% 9.8% 6.2% 2.6% 0.2%
Hannah Ker 2.3% 3.1% 3.3% 3.8% 4.7% 7.2% 8.5% 12.2% 15.3% 19.7% 14.4% 5.5%
Joe Menesale 7.0% 6.8% 9.3% 10.4% 10.1% 12.4% 12.0% 13.0% 10.7% 6.0% 1.9% 0.4%
Ben Arquit 3.8% 3.6% 5.9% 6.2% 9.1% 12.1% 13.4% 14.1% 15.8% 10.6% 4.7% 0.7%
Ross Richins 0.9% 1.3% 1.8% 3.5% 2.2% 3.6% 4.4% 7.4% 13.6% 18.1% 24.9% 18.3%
Ellie McGlynn 1.2% 0.9% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 2.3% 4.6% 5.7% 10.2% 18.0% 25.6% 27.2%
Camille Britton 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.5% 1.2% 2.6% 4.0% 5.2% 12.1% 23.1% 47.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.