Race 8B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Cameron Holley 32.3% 23.9% 19.6% 10.5% 6.8% 4.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Carter Pemberton 20.7% 21.9% 16.0% 13.7% 12.3% 8.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
John Wetzel 7.2% 5.6% 9.3% 10.7% 9.4% 11.7% 14.6% 15.1% 8.6% 5.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Samuel Shea 10.8% 16.1% 15.1% 13.7% 14.3% 11.5% 8.8% 5.3% 3.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Zachary Jordan 7.6% 7.3% 10.3% 10.3% 13.1% 12.9% 12.5% 12.2% 7.4% 4.8% 1.4% 0.2%
Ben Arquit 3.6% 4.7% 4.8% 7.3% 7.0% 10.2% 10.8% 16.8% 15.5% 12.9% 4.9% 1.5%
Christopher Pearson 8.3% 9.1% 9.8% 12.0% 12.7% 13.1% 13.3% 9.2% 7.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
Hannah Ker 1.5% 2.8% 3.9% 4.5% 4.4% 6.8% 9.0% 12.1% 17.7% 18.7% 13.1% 5.5%
Joe Menesale 5.2% 6.4% 8.3% 11.8% 12.6% 13.0% 14.4% 12.0% 10.3% 4.2% 1.6% 0.2%
Camille Britton 0.5% 0.2% 0.8% 2.0% 1.9% 2.8% 1.6% 3.4% 6.7% 12.4% 20.5% 47.2%
Ross Richins 1.5% 1.1% 1.1% 1.5% 2.6% 3.3% 5.4% 6.2% 11.0% 19.7% 26.7% 19.9%
Ellie McGlynn 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 2.0% 2.9% 2.1% 3.8% 5.0% 11.1% 17.5% 28.2% 24.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.