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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.73+4.57vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.81+1.31vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24-0.40vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+0.25vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78+0.45vs Predicted
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6Boston University1.56-0.10vs Predicted
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7McGill University0.52+1.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.55-2.19vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island-0.33+0.82vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.16-2.56vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College1.08-5.85vs Predicted
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14Wesleyan University-0.82-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57Brown University1.730.1%1st Place
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3.31Connecticut College2.810.2%1st Place
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2.6Tufts University3.240.3%1st Place
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4.25Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.45University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.9Boston University1.560.1%1st Place
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8.11McGill University0.520.0%1st Place
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5.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.550.1%1st Place
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9.82University of Rhode Island-0.330.0%1st Place
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9.44Bates College-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.15Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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10.61Wesleyan University-0.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Jordan | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 20.2% | 22.2% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 32.5% | 23.5% | 18.2% | 12.2% | 7.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Shea | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| John Wetzel | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Ker | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 6.4% |
| Joe Menesale | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ellie McGlynn | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 20.3% | 24.9% | 24.3% |
| Ross Richins | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 24.8% | 18.8% |
| Ben Arquit | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| Camille Britton | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 12.8% | 22.0% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.