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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Zachary Jordan 6.8% 7.5% 10.1% 10.1% 13.5% 12.4% 14.2% 11.9% 8.2% 3.9% 1.4% 0.0%
Carter Pemberton 20.2% 22.2% 16.7% 14.4% 11.4% 7.8% 4.7% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Cameron Holley 32.5% 23.5% 18.2% 12.2% 7.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Shea 12.2% 14.3% 14.9% 16.2% 12.5% 12.1% 8.1% 5.6% 3.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Pearson 6.9% 8.5% 11.4% 10.3% 13.6% 13.3% 12.0% 10.7% 7.3% 3.9% 2.0% 0.1%
John Wetzel 5.7% 7.9% 8.2% 9.2% 11.0% 13.2% 13.5% 14.6% 8.4% 5.5% 2.6% 0.2%
Hannah Ker 2.1% 3.5% 3.7% 3.6% 5.1% 7.6% 8.6% 10.9% 17.7% 17.5% 13.3% 6.4%
Joe Menesale 7.8% 6.4% 8.1% 11.0% 11.4% 11.4% 13.0% 13.5% 9.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.5%
Ellie McGlynn 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 2.3% 3.1% 4.0% 7.0% 9.8% 20.3% 24.9% 24.3%
Ross Richins 1.0% 1.5% 1.4% 3.0% 3.0% 3.0% 5.2% 7.0% 13.0% 18.3% 24.8% 18.8%
Ben Arquit 3.6% 3.2% 4.9% 7.7% 6.7% 10.5% 12.2% 13.9% 16.9% 11.9% 6.8% 1.7%
Camille Britton 0.3% 0.8% 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 2.0% 3.1% 2.5% 4.9% 12.8% 22.0% 48.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.