Race 1A

south-tom-curtis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Campbell D'Eliscu 17.7% 16.9% 18.8% 17.6% 14.5% 8.7% 4.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 23.6% 21.1% 17.1% 14.5% 13.5% 6.3% 2.8% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 3.0% 3.9% 6.1% 11.0% 21.4% 24.5% 18.3% 6.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 10.1% 13.8% 14.6% 16.2% 15.4% 16.2% 8.6% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 3.5% 3.4% 5.8% 5.2% 8.6% 15.4% 23.6% 18.6% 10.7% 4.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeremy Herrin 17.6% 18.6% 18.8% 16.6% 14.0% 8.6% 4.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 20.9% 16.7% 17.0% 15.1% 15.6% 8.9% 4.3% 1.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 3.0% 5.3% 4.4% 7.4% 8.6% 16.1% 20.1% 17.6% 11.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.2% 1.2% 1.1% 2.7% 3.1% 8.5% 15.5% 19.6% 25.4% 16.3% 5.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 3.0% 5.3% 4.4% 7.4% 8.6% 16.1% 20.1% 17.6% 11.9% 3.9% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 1.9% 2.6% 3.2% 6.0% 10.6% 24.7% 40.9% 8.9% 0.0%
Grace Wagner 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 1.1% 0.6% 2.3% 2.6% 6.2% 13.2% 27.8% 35.3% 9.4% 0.0%
Charles Carpenter 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 1.6% 1.9% 4.2% 10.3% 80.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.