Race 2A

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jeremy Herrin 18.2% 19.0% 15.7% 15.9% 16.7% 8.9% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 19.1% 18.5% 16.8% 15.8% 14.8% 8.7% 4.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 10.8% 12.2% 14.0% 16.4% 15.7% 17.1% 8.8% 2.7% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Campbell D'Eliscu 18.7% 17.4% 18.3% 16.7% 13.5% 9.1% 4.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 2.1% 1.5% 2.2% 2.0% 3.7% 7.9% 12.6% 20.0% 21.3% 17.0% 7.3% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 2.9% 4.4% 4.5% 7.9% 9.0% 15.5% 21.2% 16.7% 11.9% 4.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 22.6% 19.9% 19.8% 15.8% 10.7% 7.7% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 8.9% 14.5% 21.6% 19.6% 11.4% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 1.1% 1.6% 2.4% 2.5% 5.0% 6.1% 10.6% 19.2% 23.1% 17.9% 8.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 2.0% 4.1% 6.1% 8.3% 19.1% 32.0% 18.9% 6.6% 0.0%
Grace Wagner 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.9% 4.7% 7.5% 13.1% 23.8% 27.5% 15.3% 3.8% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 8.9% 14.5% 21.6% 19.6% 11.4% 4.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexina Beckley 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.3% 0.6% 1.6% 2.4% 4.9% 8.7% 15.7% 40.4% 24.5% 0.0%
Charles Carpenter 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.6% 2.1% 3.8% 6.3% 21.6% 64.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.