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📊 Prediction Accuracy
69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+2.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.06vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+1.25vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51-0.58vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.50-1.56vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.82+0.41vs Predicted
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7University of Maryland0.87+0.97vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.79-1.58vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-0.34+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.03vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech1.79-5.58vs Predicted
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13William and Mary0.87-4.81vs Predicted
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14St. John's College-2.27-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.5George Washington University3.490.2%1st Place
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3.06St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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4.25Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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3.42Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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3.44Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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6.41Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.97University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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6.42Virginia Tech1.790.0%1st Place
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9.77Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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6.42Virginia Tech1.790.0%1st Place
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8.19William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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11.61St. John's College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 16.7% | 17.6% | 16.1% | 20.9% | 14.9% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 22.3% | 21.5% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 11.8% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 18.3% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 15.5% | 15.5% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 19.2% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 22.9% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 13.4% | 20.3% | 22.4% | 16.7% | 7.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 16.0% | 26.7% | 35.3% | 6.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 24.7% | 39.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 19.3% | 19.7% | 11.3% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 18.2% | 25.3% | 18.8% | 7.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carpenter | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 82.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.