Race 2B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Hank Seum 19.3% 19.2% 15.0% 14.8% 10.2% 8.2% 6.2% 3.9% 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nathan Long 10.1% 11.0% 10.3% 10.8% 11.0% 10.4% 10.9% 9.8% 6.6% 4.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Milo Miller 11.1% 11.6% 11.4% 12.0% 11.6% 11.1% 9.8% 7.6% 6.9% 3.1% 2.6% 1.0% 0.1%
Josh Becher 8.2% 7.9% 10.3% 9.2% 9.6% 10.2% 9.7% 9.6% 8.3% 8.1% 5.3% 2.7% 0.8%
Luke Justin 4.7% 5.9% 6.6% 6.7% 8.8% 8.9% 9.6% 9.2% 11.2% 11.6% 9.6% 5.3% 2.0%
Milo Fleming 4.3% 4.2% 4.6% 5.8% 7.1% 8.6% 8.8% 10.5% 10.6% 10.5% 11.8% 8.7% 4.3%
Matthew King 22.1% 19.4% 16.3% 13.5% 9.8% 6.8% 5.7% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sara Menesale 6.8% 8.0% 9.3% 8.2% 9.6% 11.2% 9.6% 10.5% 9.1% 7.7% 6.3% 2.6% 1.2%
Zi Burns 2.5% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 5.2% 5.3% 6.8% 8.2% 10.1% 12.4% 13.5% 16.4% 10.0%
Ella Lansford 4.2% 4.0% 4.9% 5.1% 6.0% 6.6% 7.6% 7.8% 10.1% 12.2% 13.0% 12.4% 6.0%
Sunny Odom 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 1.8% 3.1% 4.3% 4.7% 6.8% 9.3% 15.8% 47.9%
Annslee Maloy 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 3.1% 2.8% 4.0% 4.1% 5.4% 7.3% 9.3% 12.9% 22.9% 22.1%
Beatriz Newland 3.9% 3.5% 4.6% 5.6% 6.5% 6.7% 8.1% 9.2% 11.8% 11.8% 12.1% 10.9% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.