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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.25+0.87vs Predicted
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2Bates College0.07+3.49vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80+0.48vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.26-1.06vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut2.59-2.42vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.20-0.21vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.38-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Bowdoin College3.250.5%1st Place
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5.49Bates College0.070.0%1st Place
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3.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.1%1st Place
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2.94Tufts University2.260.2%1st Place
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2.58University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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5.79Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.85McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Hatch | 47.7% | 27.4% | 17.1% | 6.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sneath | 1.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 9.4% | 26.2% | 32.1% | 24.2% |
| Guttorm Straume | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 32.3% | 17.1% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Slate | 17.1% | 20.5% | 27.0% | 24.2% | 8.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| John Giuliano | 21.5% | 30.5% | 25.0% | 15.5% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Brennan Ashton | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 22.4% | 31.3% | 34.5% |
| Stephanie Clement | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 17.8% | 28.6% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.