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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+2.14vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.50+1.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+0.40vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland0.87+4.14vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.49-1.54vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.79+0.47vs Predicted
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7Hampton University3.02-2.84vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.79-1.53vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University1.82-2.63vs Predicted
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10William and Mary0.87-2.01vs Predicted
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11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-1.02vs Predicted
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12St. John's College-2.27-0.40vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-0.34-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.2%1st Place
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3.43Old Dominion University3.500.2%1st Place
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3.4Georgetown University3.510.2%1st Place
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8.14University of Maryland0.870.0%1st Place
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3.46George Washington University3.490.2%1st Place
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6.47Virginia Tech1.790.0%1st Place
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4.16Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.47Virginia Tech1.790.0%1st Place
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6.37Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
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7.99William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.0%1st Place
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11.6St. John's College-2.270.0%1st Place
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9.87Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 22.2% | 18.6% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 17.6% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 18.9% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bobbitt | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 6.7% | 14.2% | 19.4% | 24.6% | 17.9% | 7.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 18.7% | 17.3% | 19.1% | 15.0% | 13.6% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 21.7% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 15.1% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 14.6% | 21.7% | 20.4% | 11.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 18.2% | 11.7% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 21.2% | 25.0% | 16.3% | 5.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Thompson | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 6.0% | 10.7% | 25.4% | 40.0% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Carpenter | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 81.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 13.6% | 27.9% | 35.4% | 8.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.