Race 6A

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brendan Shanahan 19.6% 20.2% 20.5% 18.7% 11.8% 5.8% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Herrin 22.0% 20.9% 18.2% 16.6% 13.3% 6.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 1.8% 3.3% 2.8% 3.8% 8.3% 10.5% 16.2% 19.2% 18.7% 11.3% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 2.7% 3.9% 6.1% 8.5% 16.3% 18.3% 17.7% 13.9% 9.0% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.3% 2.2% 2.8% 2.9% 4.9% 10.8% 15.7% 16.4% 20.1% 15.6% 6.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 4.2% 4.8% 5.8% 8.6% 14.2% 18.9% 18.0% 14.2% 8.2% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 26.5% 21.7% 20.4% 16.9% 9.1% 4.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 0.8% 1.7% 3.2% 4.7% 5.9% 11.2% 13.9% 17.5% 19.3% 15.0% 5.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 2.7% 3.9% 6.1% 8.5% 16.3% 18.3% 17.7% 13.9% 9.0% 3.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 2.7% 4.6% 8.0% 10.9% 24.1% 38.0% 9.0% 0.0%
Grace Wagner 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 1.3% 2.6% 3.9% 4.4% 7.7% 11.9% 24.5% 34.7% 7.7% 0.0%
Charles Carpenter 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.9% 1.7% 3.7% 10.1% 81.4% 0.0%
Campbell D'Eliscu 20.6% 20.1% 18.8% 17.1% 12.7% 7.1% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.