Race 7A

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Bryan Bay 3.7% 5.2% 5.8% 8.8% 13.9% 16.6% 18.3% 15.8% 7.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 21.9% 21.5% 21.7% 14.4% 11.3% 6.3% 2.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Herrin 22.8% 21.9% 18.4% 16.7% 11.9% 5.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 14.4% 14.3% 19.9% 19.0% 15.4% 8.5% 5.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 27.1% 23.7% 18.3% 16.0% 8.1% 4.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 3.7% 5.2% 5.8% 8.8% 13.9% 16.6% 18.3% 15.8% 7.9% 3.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 3.9% 5.1% 6.5% 9.9% 13.1% 18.9% 17.0% 13.8% 7.3% 4.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Filip Stevanovic 1.9% 3.4% 3.1% 4.5% 8.2% 11.4% 17.0% 16.8% 18.6% 10.9% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 3.9% 6.2% 12.1% 11.9% 17.2% 21.9% 12.9% 6.2% 0.8% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 1.4% 1.8% 2.0% 3.8% 7.4% 10.1% 14.6% 18.8% 20.0% 15.4% 4.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Grace Wagner 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 3.0% 3.5% 4.1% 5.9% 14.4% 25.2% 34.1% 6.8% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 0.8% 0.2% 0.5% 1.3% 1.3% 2.4% 4.0% 6.5% 8.1% 23.8% 39.5% 11.6% 0.0%
Charles Carpenter 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.3% 1.1% 4.5% 10.8% 80.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.