Race 9A

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brendan Shanahan 18.3% 18.5% 17.7% 19.4% 13.7% 7.0% 4.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 11.9% 13.5% 15.4% 17.5% 15.3% 13.8% 7.6% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 12.9% 13.2% 15.3% 13.1% 16.7% 15.1% 9.7% 3.2% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Herrin 20.2% 19.4% 18.0% 15.3% 14.5% 6.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 24.5% 23.2% 16.7% 14.4% 10.1% 6.8% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 3.4% 4.4% 6.3% 6.2% 8.6% 16.3% 21.2% 17.4% 11.2% 4.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.8% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 4.1% 6.5% 11.8% 20.3% 22.4% 18.7% 6.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 4.3% 3.8% 5.1% 7.4% 10.0% 15.0% 18.3% 17.8% 13.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 1.4% 1.6% 1.1% 2.7% 3.7% 8.3% 13.7% 19.5% 25.7% 16.4% 5.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 4.3% 3.8% 5.1% 7.4% 10.0% 15.0% 18.3% 17.8% 13.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 0.2% 0.2% 0.7% 0.6% 1.8% 2.5% 3.3% 5.8% 9.9% 26.3% 39.8% 8.9% 0.0%
Grace Wagner 0.9% 0.2% 0.8% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 2.9% 7.6% 12.4% 26.5% 35.9% 9.5% 0.0%
Charles Carpenter 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 1.2% 1.6% 4.7% 10.2% 80.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.