Race 10A

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jeremy Herrin 21.1% 16.2% 18.7% 15.3% 14.6% 7.6% 4.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 12.0% 14.8% 13.1% 17.5% 16.8% 12.1% 8.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maximilian Kuester 11.2% 14.1% 14.8% 14.1% 16.4% 15.8% 8.1% 4.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brendan Shanahan 20.3% 17.8% 17.9% 17.4% 13.4% 7.5% 3.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bradley Adam 24.5% 21.8% 18.8% 14.3% 10.5% 6.2% 3.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 3.4% 4.4% 4.9% 8.0% 8.9% 15.0% 18.3% 18.2% 11.2% 5.8% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 3.4% 4.4% 4.9% 8.0% 8.9% 15.0% 18.3% 18.2% 11.2% 5.8% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.8% 2.3% 2.0% 2.7% 3.8% 7.6% 12.1% 17.2% 21.6% 17.5% 8.5% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 3.5% 6.0% 4.8% 6.0% 8.1% 16.6% 20.2% 18.6% 10.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Wagner 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 0.5% 2.1% 2.6% 3.4% 6.0% 10.3% 18.6% 25.6% 23.6% 5.5% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 1.3% 1.2% 3.1% 2.9% 4.2% 6.3% 11.6% 17.4% 23.4% 16.3% 8.1% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 0.5% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.8% 1.3% 3.6% 6.4% 11.7% 19.2% 26.3% 21.0% 8.0% 0.0%
Dylan Brady 0.1% 0.4% 0.4% 0.7% 0.3% 1.1% 2.5% 4.6% 6.5% 14.3% 22.2% 34.9% 12.0% 0.0%
Charles Carpenter 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 2.0% 2.7% 6.0% 13.9% 73.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.