Race 12A

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Brendan Shanahan 29.1% 21.2% 17.5% 15.4% 9.7% 5.4% 1.6% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Roger Dorr 15.8% 18.0% 16.5% 20.1% 16.8% 7.3% 4.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeremy Herrin 24.8% 22.7% 21.3% 15.6% 9.8% 4.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Anders Hudson 4.3% 5.6% 6.3% 11.7% 19.5% 20.3% 19.0% 11.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 4.9% 6.1% 8.5% 10.1% 14.3% 24.7% 18.2% 10.2% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryan Bay 4.9% 6.1% 8.5% 10.1% 14.3% 24.7% 18.2% 10.2% 2.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Bobbitt 1.9% 2.8% 3.5% 2.9% 8.1% 12.8% 22.3% 31.4% 13.5% 0.8% 0.0%
Patrick Tara 17.1% 20.5% 22.0% 18.6% 11.4% 7.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick Mazzeo 1.2% 2.5% 3.7% 4.7% 8.1% 13.1% 22.3% 29.1% 14.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Nathan Thompson 0.8% 0.4% 0.7% 0.8% 1.9% 3.8% 7.0% 14.6% 56.8% 13.2% 0.0%
Charles Carpenter 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 10.1% 84.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.