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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.25+0.91vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.26+0.94vs Predicted
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3University of Connecticut2.59-0.45vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.80-0.52vs Predicted
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5Bates College0.07+0.50vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.20-0.23vs Predicted
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7McGill University-0.38-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91Bowdoin College3.250.5%1st Place
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2.94Tufts University2.260.2%1st Place
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2.55University of Connecticut2.590.2%1st Place
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3.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.800.1%1st Place
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5.5Bates College0.070.0%1st Place
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5.77Worcester Polytechnic Institute-0.200.0%1st Place
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5.87McGill University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Hatch | 46.2% | 29.0% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Slate | 15.9% | 22.3% | 27.8% | 23.0% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| John Giuliano | 22.4% | 29.3% | 26.4% | 15.6% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Guttorm Straume | 11.1% | 13.8% | 21.0% | 30.9% | 17.4% | 5.2% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sneath | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 9.8% | 27.1% | 31.1% | 24.5% |
| Brennan Ashton | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 7.4% | 22.6% | 30.7% | 34.0% |
| Stephanie Clement | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 16.9% | 29.7% | 40.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.