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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+2.35vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+1.54vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.45+3.25vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50+2.90vs Predicted
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5University of Miami0.83+0.14vs Predicted
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6Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+3.92vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.95-1.89vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida-0.16-0.05vs Predicted
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9Rollins College-0.45-0.30vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University-0.31-1.84vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.61-1.96vs Predicted
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12Embry-Riddle University-1.49-1.05vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.68-7.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.35Jacksonville University1.5522.8%1st Place
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3.54Jacksonville University1.4520.8%1st Place
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6.25University of South Florida0.456.8%1st Place
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6.9University of South Florida0.506.4%1st Place
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5.14University of Miami0.8310.8%1st Place
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9.92Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.7%1st Place
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5.11Rollins College0.9510.4%1st Place
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7.95University of South Florida-0.163.4%1st Place
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8.7Rollins College-0.452.9%1st Place
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8.16Jacksonville University-0.313.4%1st Place
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9.04Rollins College-0.612.3%1st Place
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10.95Embry-Riddle University-1.491.0%1st Place
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6.0University of Miami0.687.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 22.8% | 21.4% | 15.8% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 20.8% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 14.2% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Luke Justin | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Long | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 14.4% | 21.2% | 20.8% |
| Milo Miller | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Beatriz Newland | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 4.2% |
| Zi Burns | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 9.1% |
| Ella Lansford | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Sexton | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 11.3% |
| Sunny Odom | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 16.9% | 44.6% |
| Josh Becher | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.