Race 2B

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dane Byerly 25.0% 22.5% 20.5% 14.8% 10.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 6.3% 9.4% 16.1% 24.8% 21.7% 9.1% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Sheerin 14.7% 15.7% 14.7% 18.1% 18.4% 11.6% 5.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 24.2% 25.8% 16.7% 16.9% 9.8% 4.3% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 9.2% 9.7% 13.7% 14.7% 17.6% 17.6% 11.0% 5.1% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 17.6% 15.2% 21.3% 15.1% 14.9% 9.3% 5.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 4.0% 5.2% 4.5% 7.8% 10.3% 20.6% 21.3% 18.4% 5.7% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.8% 3.0% 4.2% 6.3% 9.4% 16.1% 24.8% 21.7% 9.1% 2.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Johnston 1.4% 2.2% 2.8% 4.2% 6.2% 9.4% 17.3% 30.3% 18.1% 5.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Meghan Crawford 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.7% 0.4% 1.7% 2.1% 6.0% 16.8% 24.7% 31.3% 15.7% 0.0%
John Monday 0.1% 0.2% 0.5% 0.9% 1.1% 2.6% 4.1% 7.1% 22.5% 28.1% 23.0% 9.8% 0.0%
August Williams 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 4.9% 9.6% 17.0% 64.2% 0.0%
Danyte Reisinger 0.4% 0.2% 0.8% 0.3% 1.1% 1.8% 3.7% 7.1% 20.9% 27.6% 26.2% 9.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.