Race 3B

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Luca Taglialegne 9.4% 8.8% 10.6% 16.3% 17.8% 17.7% 12.8% 5.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 24.7% 23.1% 19.0% 14.9% 10.1% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 25.7% 21.5% 19.8% 16.1% 9.2% 5.2% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 15.8% 19.0% 20.1% 15.9% 13.9% 9.2% 4.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.4% 4.1% 4.1% 5.3% 9.5% 15.5% 22.8% 19.1% 12.6% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Sheerin 15.3% 14.2% 15.7% 17.8% 15.7% 12.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 3.7% 5.2% 5.7% 6.9% 12.6% 18.7% 19.9% 17.1% 7.3% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Johnston 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 6.1% 9.2% 16.1% 25.5% 20.1% 9.4% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
John Monday 0.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 3.3% 7.1% 16.4% 30.2% 29.7% 9.1% 0.0%
Jeffery Mayher 0.5% 0.4% 1.2% 2.0% 3.1% 3.9% 7.3% 15.5% 26.8% 25.1% 12.1% 2.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.4% 4.1% 4.1% 5.3% 9.5% 15.5% 22.8% 19.1% 12.6% 3.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Meghan Crawford 0.5% 0.3% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 2.4% 4.4% 11.2% 20.9% 36.2% 21.8% 0.0%
August Williams 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 3.3% 7.8% 18.5% 66.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.