Race 4B

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

76.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Dane Byerly 25.4% 21.3% 20.8% 16.1% 9.5% 4.0% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 24.9% 24.6% 18.1% 15.0% 9.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Sheerin 15.6% 13.8% 17.3% 15.6% 18.7% 11.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 7.5% 10.7% 13.2% 15.7% 16.9% 19.0% 11.1% 3.9% 1.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.3% 4.1% 4.7% 5.3% 9.6% 14.9% 21.4% 21.6% 12.1% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 17.2% 17.5% 18.0% 16.9% 15.1% 9.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samara Leith 4.5% 4.8% 4.5% 8.5% 11.3% 17.8% 21.4% 17.0% 7.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.3% 4.1% 4.7% 5.3% 9.6% 14.9% 21.4% 21.6% 12.1% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffery Mayher 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.9% 3.1% 4.9% 8.0% 13.1% 26.6% 25.2% 13.0% 2.4% 0.0%
John Monday 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.7% 3.7% 7.1% 18.0% 28.7% 28.8% 9.6% 0.0%
Meghan Crawford 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 2.4% 3.2% 2.9% 10.9% 21.5% 38.5% 19.4% 0.0%
August Williams 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.7% 1.4% 3.2% 8.7% 16.3% 68.1% 0.0%
Alexander Johnston 1.3% 2.2% 2.0% 3.8% 4.4% 7.8% 16.8% 29.1% 19.4% 10.3% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.