Race 5B

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Luca Taglialegne 8.6% 8.7% 12.4% 13.0% 16.2% 19.3% 14.0% 5.6% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 6.1% 8.4% 12.4% 22.0% 25.4% 11.5% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 24.1% 21.4% 19.9% 14.2% 12.3% 5.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 24.2% 25.5% 17.1% 16.5% 8.6% 5.2% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 5.0% 7.8% 8.0% 11.8% 15.3% 17.5% 19.5% 10.0% 4.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Sheerin 14.9% 12.4% 18.4% 16.2% 15.3% 13.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 17.8% 18.6% 16.6% 16.0% 14.0% 9.9% 5.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 2.7% 3.1% 4.1% 6.1% 8.4% 12.4% 22.0% 25.4% 11.5% 3.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
John Monday 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 1.2% 2.4% 3.6% 7.1% 14.7% 29.7% 29.3% 10.9% 0.0%
Alexander Johnston 1.5% 1.3% 1.9% 3.0% 4.8% 9.9% 16.7% 28.2% 21.1% 9.4% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jeffery Mayher 0.4% 0.4% 1.0% 1.9% 3.1% 3.6% 5.5% 12.8% 31.2% 26.4% 11.9% 1.8% 0.0%
Meghan Crawford 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.5% 4.2% 10.7% 21.3% 37.8% 21.1% 0.0%
August Williams 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 1.1% 1.7% 3.0% 8.6% 18.4% 66.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.