Race 6B

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrew Sheerin 13.2% 13.8% 15.9% 17.4% 16.5% 13.5% 7.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 24.3% 22.7% 18.5% 15.5% 9.3% 7.4% 2.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 8.4% 11.6% 24.2% 22.8% 12.7% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 4.8% 6.1% 8.6% 12.1% 15.5% 19.7% 17.9% 11.3% 3.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
William Logue 26.3% 23.9% 18.3% 13.7% 10.2% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 5.3% 8.4% 11.6% 24.2% 22.8% 12.7% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 15.9% 16.5% 18.2% 16.0% 14.3% 11.8% 5.1% 2.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 10.0% 9.8% 11.4% 13.3% 17.5% 16.7% 13.2% 6.4% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Johnston 1.0% 2.0% 2.9% 4.5% 5.1% 6.8% 16.4% 26.1% 23.4% 8.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
John Monday 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 3.6% 6.9% 16.0% 31.2% 29.7% 9.0% 0.0%
Meghan Crawford 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 2.1% 3.1% 4.3% 10.3% 21.6% 37.0% 20.3% 0.0%
Jeffery Mayher 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 1.3% 3.3% 5.2% 15.6% 28.2% 26.0% 13.6% 3.2% 0.0%
August Williams 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 1.8% 3.9% 8.6% 16.8% 66.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.