Race 7B

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
AJ Reiter 23.6% 22.4% 19.9% 14.9% 9.8% 7.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Sheerin 13.2% 15.0% 16.3% 17.7% 15.6% 11.7% 7.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 3.7% 3.1% 4.2% 5.4% 8.1% 12.8% 23.6% 22.6% 13.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 16.4% 16.4% 18.2% 14.1% 16.7% 11.2% 5.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 9.1% 9.2% 10.5% 15.3% 18.1% 16.3% 13.5% 6.2% 1.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 23.8% 24.2% 17.8% 14.2% 10.9% 5.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 7.2% 7.1% 9.1% 11.9% 11.8% 20.8% 17.9% 9.3% 4.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 3.7% 3.1% 4.2% 5.4% 8.1% 12.8% 23.6% 22.6% 13.1% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Johnston 1.2% 1.6% 2.5% 4.5% 5.4% 7.6% 15.4% 26.4% 23.0% 9.1% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Jeffery Mayher 0.9% 0.4% 0.9% 0.8% 1.6% 3.5% 6.7% 16.9% 29.0% 26.9% 10.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Meghan Crawford 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 1.1% 1.7% 2.9% 4.4% 9.6% 22.6% 37.8% 19.3% 0.0%
John Monday 0.6% 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 2.6% 7.2% 14.1% 31.0% 28.1% 13.2% 0.0%
August Williams 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 0.4% 1.8% 4.0% 7.0% 19.6% 65.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.