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📊 Prediction Accuracy
84.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.29+1.93vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+1.89vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+1.68vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.89-0.40vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.02vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.89-0.65vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.14-0.43vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech1.14-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of Maryland0.56-1.45vs Predicted
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10University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.34-1.13vs Predicted
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11Catholic University of America-1.48-0.68vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-2.50-0.65vs Predicted
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13St. John's College-1.11-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.93Georgetown University3.290.2%1st Place
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3.89George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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4.68Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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3.6Old Dominion University2.890.2%1st Place
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2.98St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.2%1st Place
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5.35Christopher Newport University1.890.1%1st Place
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6.57Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
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6.57Virginia Tech1.140.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Maryland0.560.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.340.0%1st Place
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10.32Catholic University of America-1.480.0%1st Place
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11.35William and Mary-2.500.0%1st Place
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9.92St. John's College-1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Reiter | 23.6% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 16.5% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 13.0% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 17.0% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 9.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 16.5% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 10.3% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dane Byerly | 25.0% | 21.7% | 18.5% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 12.1% | 4.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 22.8% | 23.0% | 12.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 22.8% | 23.0% | 12.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Johnston | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 14.9% | 25.9% | 22.8% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffery Mayher | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 28.9% | 26.5% | 11.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Meghan Crawford | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 9.8% | 23.4% | 36.9% | 19.4% | 0.0% |
| August Williams | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 8.0% | 16.8% | 68.0% | 0.0% |
| John Monday | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 16.0% | 29.3% | 31.6% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.