Race 9B

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Preston Senior 2.3% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 7.5% 12.3% 21.1% 26.2% 13.0% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 15.6% 16.5% 19.0% 18.6% 12.3% 11.3% 4.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Sheerin 13.7% 15.6% 15.3% 15.5% 18.0% 12.4% 6.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 5.4% 6.6% 9.4% 10.4% 16.0% 20.2% 17.3% 10.2% 4.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 25.0% 22.3% 17.3% 15.3% 11.0% 5.5% 2.9% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 8.6% 9.7% 11.5% 13.4% 18.2% 17.2% 13.3% 6.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 25.9% 22.6% 18.8% 14.9% 8.9% 6.2% 2.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 2.3% 3.9% 4.2% 5.3% 7.5% 12.3% 21.1% 26.2% 13.0% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Johnston 1.8% 1.4% 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 7.9% 17.4% 24.0% 23.8% 8.0% 3.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Jeffery Mayher 0.9% 0.6% 0.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.6% 8.1% 16.6% 28.3% 27.0% 10.5% 1.9% 0.0%
John Monday 0.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.4% 1.4% 3.1% 3.3% 5.4% 15.1% 30.5% 28.6% 11.5% 0.0%
August Williams 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 3.5% 8.6% 16.4% 67.7% 0.0%
Meghan Crawford 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.8% 1.8% 5.2% 9.9% 21.7% 40.0% 18.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.