Race 10B

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Preston Senior 2.2% 4.0% 3.8% 5.3% 8.7% 12.4% 22.0% 25.8% 11.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Sheerin 11.8% 16.5% 16.1% 17.4% 17.1% 11.5% 7.2% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 9.0% 10.3% 11.7% 12.3% 17.6% 18.9% 12.0% 6.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 24.7% 20.9% 19.1% 15.7% 9.9% 6.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Preston Senior 2.2% 4.0% 3.8% 5.3% 8.7% 12.4% 22.0% 25.8% 11.7% 3.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 17.5% 14.7% 18.5% 17.1% 13.8% 10.4% 5.4% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 5.3% 7.3% 9.0% 11.2% 14.1% 19.8% 17.8% 10.7% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 26.4% 23.2% 16.4% 14.8% 9.6% 6.9% 2.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexander Johnston 1.6% 2.0% 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 7.7% 18.7% 24.5% 21.6% 9.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.0%
John Monday 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.9% 1.6% 2.8% 6.4% 18.3% 29.9% 29.0% 9.6% 0.0%
Jeffery Mayher 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 1.9% 2.9% 2.8% 7.0% 14.6% 29.3% 25.6% 11.4% 2.6% 0.0%
August Williams 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 1.4% 3.3% 7.4% 16.9% 68.6% 0.0%
Meghan Crawford 0.3% 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.8% 4.8% 9.5% 23.3% 38.7% 18.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.