Race 11B

south-tom-curtis

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Brady 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 7.1% 11.7% 25.6% 25.6% 13.4% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Jack Elkin 17.8% 17.5% 21.5% 18.7% 14.2% 7.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 8.9% 9.0% 13.3% 17.0% 22.7% 17.8% 8.7% 2.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Sheerin 14.1% 14.0% 17.5% 20.8% 18.6% 10.5% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 27.1% 25.1% 18.6% 15.0% 9.1% 4.2% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 25.8% 25.0% 20.1% 13.5% 10.3% 3.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mackenzie Conner 2.0% 3.1% 2.3% 3.4% 6.7% 14.3% 24.5% 22.1% 14.7% 6.1% 0.8% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.5% 3.0% 4.1% 7.1% 11.7% 25.6% 25.6% 13.4% 6.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Natalie Jones 0.7% 1.3% 0.6% 2.1% 2.1% 6.7% 13.8% 22.9% 26.7% 19.7% 3.4% 0.0%
Jeffery Mayher 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.7% 3.5% 5.9% 10.6% 22.7% 27.2% 19.8% 5.6% 0.0%
John Monday 0.4% 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 1.0% 3.4% 7.1% 11.5% 19.6% 39.5% 15.8% 0.0%
August Williams 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 2.2% 3.2% 5.1% 13.9% 74.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.