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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.70+0.29vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.20-0.07vs Predicted
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4Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71-0.36vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.01+0.83vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.06-1.47vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.21-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.2%1st Place
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2.29Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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2.93Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
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3.64Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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5.83University of Connecticut0.010.0%1st Place
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4.53McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.92Bates College-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Graef | 22.7% | 23.6% | 20.7% | 16.6% | 11.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Charles Proctor | 33.8% | 29.6% | 18.9% | 11.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Emily McNeil | 20.4% | 20.9% | 24.8% | 18.8% | 9.8% | 4.6% | 0.7% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 13.1% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 23.7% | 20.9% | 10.2% | 1.9% |
| Eleanor Leonard | 1.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 14.0% | 31.7% | 39.7% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 6.4% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 28.0% | 20.7% | 9.2% |
| Ryan Lovering | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 27.5% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.