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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+2.42vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.45+1.62vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University-0.31+5.08vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida0.50+2.88vs Predicted
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5Rollins College-0.45+3.62vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.68-0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Miami0.83-1.76vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida0.45-1.80vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida-0.16-1.16vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.49+1.00vs Predicted
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11Rollins College0.95-5.91vs Predicted
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12Florida Institute of Technology-0.99-2.06vs Predicted
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13Rollins College-0.61-3.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42Jacksonville University1.5521.6%1st Place
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3.62Jacksonville University1.4520.9%1st Place
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8.08Jacksonville University-0.313.9%1st Place
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6.88University of South Florida0.505.2%1st Place
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8.62Rollins College-0.453.5%1st Place
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5.92University of Miami0.688.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Miami0.8310.2%1st Place
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6.2University of South Florida0.456.7%1st Place
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7.84University of South Florida-0.164.0%1st Place
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11.0Embry-Riddle University-1.491.1%1st Place
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5.09Rollins College0.9510.9%1st Place
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9.94Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.7%1st Place
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9.16Rollins College-0.612.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 21.6% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hank Seum | 20.9% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ella Lansford | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 5.7% |
| Luke Justin | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Zi Burns | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 8.9% |
| Josh Becher | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Long | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Sara Menesale | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Beatriz Newland | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 4.8% |
| Sunny Odom | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 18.1% | 43.9% |
| Milo Miller | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 19.8% | 22.4% |
| Matthew Sexton | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.