Race 12B

south-tom-curtis

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Jack Elkin 16.2% 16.7% 17.3% 19.8% 12.9% 10.1% 5.1% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
AJ Reiter 23.8% 24.9% 18.6% 13.6% 10.8% 6.0% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Sheerin 14.2% 14.8% 16.3% 16.6% 17.5% 11.5% 6.8% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.1% 3.3% 3.9% 4.9% 10.2% 16.1% 25.7% 21.5% 8.4% 3.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Spencer Charney 5.9% 6.6% 9.0% 11.9% 16.6% 17.3% 20.1% 9.4% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Luca Taglialegne 8.9% 10.0% 12.1% 14.1% 15.6% 20.0% 12.2% 5.3% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicholas Brady 2.1% 3.3% 3.9% 4.9% 10.2% 16.1% 25.7% 21.5% 8.4% 3.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Dane Byerly 26.3% 22.0% 19.8% 14.3% 9.3% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jeffery Mayher 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.7% 2.5% 3.8% 8.9% 17.3% 26.2% 20.7% 13.6% 3.4% 0.0%
Natalie Jones 1.1% 0.3% 1.0% 1.1% 1.4% 4.1% 8.1% 20.4% 24.4% 23.1% 12.9% 2.1% 0.0%
Emily Seeley 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 2.2% 2.7% 5.4% 10.9% 19.7% 24.7% 24.5% 7.9% 0.0%
John Monday 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.7% 1.4% 3.1% 8.9% 13.0% 21.9% 34.4% 14.3% 0.0%
August Williams 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 1.1% 2.3% 3.1% 5.7% 14.3% 72.1% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.