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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.69+9.50vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+6.60vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+5.03vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.52vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.84vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+1.59vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-0.76vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College2.82+1.76vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.15-0.44vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.84-3.82vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.61-4.05vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.52-4.53vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.73-2.94vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.94-4.86vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08-2.48vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.76-5.81vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.22vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.80-2.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.5SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.0%1st Place
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8.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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7.59George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.76Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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8.56Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.95Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.47Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.06Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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12.52University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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10.19College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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17.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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15.63Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Tara | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.2% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| William Marshall | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Michael Gemperline | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 18.8% | 12.8% | 2.7% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 14.5% | 73.8% |
| William Sunkler | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 11.8% | 45.2% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.