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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.20+1.89vs Predicted
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2Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71+1.59vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70-0.71vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.01+0.84vs Predicted
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6McGill University1.06-1.43vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.21-1.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
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3.59Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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2.29Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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2.9Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.2%1st Place
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5.84University of Connecticut0.010.0%1st Place
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4.57McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.92Bates College-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily McNeil | 22.7% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 11.9% | 14.8% | 18.7% | 24.5% | 18.5% | 9.9% | 1.7% |
| Charles Proctor | 32.9% | 31.0% | 18.9% | 10.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Richard Graef | 22.5% | 19.8% | 22.7% | 19.3% | 12.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Eleanor Leonard | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 13.9% | 32.8% | 39.6% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 6.1% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 16.7% | 28.1% | 21.7% | 9.5% |
| Ryan Lovering | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 27.2% | 47.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.