Race 5B

lake-virginia-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Matthew King 19.8% 21.1% 16.9% 14.0% 10.8% 7.0% 5.1% 2.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Hank Seum 20.7% 17.5% 16.4% 13.5% 10.2% 8.9% 6.0% 3.3% 2.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Josh Becher 7.9% 7.4% 7.7% 9.7% 10.2% 9.9% 10.7% 10.2% 10.1% 8.5% 4.3% 2.7% 0.7%
Milo Miller 11.2% 11.5% 11.9% 11.0% 11.2% 11.1% 10.4% 8.3% 5.7% 4.7% 1.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Nathan Long 9.8% 11.3% 9.9% 11.9% 11.1% 11.3% 10.8% 7.8% 7.8% 4.3% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Sara Menesale 6.9% 7.8% 8.3% 8.3% 9.0% 9.8% 10.4% 10.9% 8.6% 8.2% 7.5% 3.5% 0.7%
Luke Justin 6.2% 5.0% 7.1% 7.2% 8.2% 9.3% 9.3% 11.5% 9.9% 10.1% 8.2% 6.0% 2.1%
Milo Fleming 4.8% 4.7% 5.2% 6.1% 7.8% 7.1% 7.4% 8.9% 12.0% 11.2% 11.7% 9.4% 3.8%
Beatriz Newland 4.0% 4.2% 4.2% 5.8% 5.9% 7.4% 7.5% 9.8% 11.2% 13.5% 12.3% 9.8% 4.3%
Annslee Maloy 1.9% 1.4% 2.7% 2.3% 3.1% 4.0% 4.6% 6.0% 6.3% 9.3% 12.9% 22.3% 23.1%
Zi Burns 2.7% 3.1% 3.2% 3.5% 4.8% 5.2% 7.5% 7.9% 9.8% 12.2% 15.2% 15.2% 9.6%
Sunny Odom 1.1% 1.6% 1.4% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 2.5% 3.5% 4.0% 6.0% 9.4% 16.8% 48.4%
Ella Lansford 3.2% 3.4% 5.0% 5.3% 6.2% 6.8% 7.5% 9.3% 10.3% 10.7% 13.3% 12.1% 6.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.