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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.37vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+4.90vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+4.91vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.80+5.73vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+0.95vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.94+3.39vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.76+3.01vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-0.96vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.15-0.52vs Predicted
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10George Washington University3.41-2.27vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.73-0.65vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.67-5.13vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.84vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.13vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.82-5.20vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.08-3.42vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.23vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.80-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.91Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.73University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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5.95University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.39Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.01College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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7.04Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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8.48Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.73George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.35Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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6.87U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.16SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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9.8Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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12.58University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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17.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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15.62Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.5% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Will Holz | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Schoene | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 19.9% | 13.0% | 2.3% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 14.9% | 73.5% |
| William Sunkler | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 11.4% | 45.4% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.