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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.12vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+4.93vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+7.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.14vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.69+5.26vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.35+1.75vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.45vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin2.08+4.34vs Predicted
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9George Washington University3.41-1.54vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-2.66vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.73-0.71vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.42vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston2.76-3.10vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.94-4.96vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.15-6.53vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+1.19vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.80-1.22vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.82-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.93Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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10.13University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.26SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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12.34University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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7.46George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.34Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.29Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.58St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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9.9College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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9.04Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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8.47Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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17.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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15.78Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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9.71Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.1% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 5.8% | 0.3% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 20.8% | 12.3% | 1.4% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.4% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Muller | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 0.2% |
| Michael Gemperline | 4.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| William Marshall | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 15.8% | 72.9% |
| William Sunkler | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 9.4% | 44.2% | 23.8% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.