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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.07vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+3.97vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.00vs Predicted
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5George Washington University3.41+2.50vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.57vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35+0.75vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.73+2.09vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.76+1.06vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.94-0.40vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.82-1.06vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.44vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin2.08-0.65vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.69-3.98vs Predicted
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15Stanford University3.15-6.56vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+1.18vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.80-1.24vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.80-8.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.07University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.0Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.5George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.09Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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10.06College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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9.6Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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9.94Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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9.56St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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12.35University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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10.02SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.44Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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17.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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15.76Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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9.76University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Allyson Donahue | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.3% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 3.5% | 0.1% |
| William Marshall | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 15.8% | 72.4% |
| William Sunkler | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 10.7% | 43.3% | 23.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.