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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+5.96vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.34vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.08vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+3.37vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+2.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.67+0.55vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.15+1.55vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.35-0.37vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.94+0.35vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.69+0.58vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.82-1.05vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston2.76-1.60vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-3.25vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.08-1.79vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.85vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.73-5.80vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.23vs Predicted
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18Washington College0.80-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.96Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.37George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.08Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.55U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.55Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.35Roger Williams University2.940.0%1st Place
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10.58SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.95Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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10.4College of Charleston2.760.0%1st Place
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9.75University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.21University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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9.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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10.2Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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17.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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15.62Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Allyson Donahue | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 5.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Muller | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 17.0% | 12.3% | 2.8% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 3.6% | 0.6% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 15.3% | 73.4% |
| William Sunkler | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 11.0% | 45.9% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.