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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.95+10.63vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.51vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+4.49vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+2.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.38vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.05+5.17vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.58+5.69vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.62+0.98vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-1.71vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.19vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-1.54vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.32-1.51vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.72-4.48vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-6.42vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.82-6.75vs Predicted
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16Fordham University2.71-7.22vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-0.17vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.85-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.63University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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6.51Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.19Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.17SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.69University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.81St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.46Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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10.49George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.52Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.78Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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16.83SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
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16.95Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Gallagher | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 11.1% | 14.2% | 16.4% | 5.2% | 0.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.7% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 25.1% | 10.0% | 1.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 39.0% | 45.0% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 4.3% | 34.9% | 52.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.