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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.72+7.86vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.82+6.54vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.71+6.00vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.77vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.62+4.00vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+0.25vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+0.29vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+1.27vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-2.44vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.05+1.33vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-4.55vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.09-4.45vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.58-0.45vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.75vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-9.70vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.32-5.77vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.85+0.14vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.54Old Dominion University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.0Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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6.25Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.56St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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11.33SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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6.45Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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12.55University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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5.3U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.23George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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17.14Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
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16.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Floyd | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 4.4% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 13.0% | 13.8% | 5.0% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Noah Janssen | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 14.6% | 24.5% | 8.4% | 1.1% |
| William Gallagher | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.8% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 30.6% | 58.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 6.9% | 43.7% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.