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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.49vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.55+6.60vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.82+4.16vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.82vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.37vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-0.41vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.71+0.64vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.32+1.22vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.62-0.68vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.38-4.66vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.72-2.97vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.58-0.49vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.09-6.95vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.95-3.49vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.05-4.78vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.85+0.20vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.6Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.16Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.64Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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6.34Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.03Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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12.51University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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7.05College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.51University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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11.22SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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17.2Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
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16.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 10.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Noah Janssen | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 23.7% | 9.5% | 1.3% |
| Paris Henken | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 5.4% | 0.9% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 23.3% | 65.4% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 7.7% | 47.2% | 31.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.