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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University1.55+2.51vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida0.50+5.10vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida0.45+3.46vs Predicted
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4University of Miami0.83+1.33vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.45-1.41vs Predicted
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6University of Miami0.680.00vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida-0.16+0.94vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.95-2.84vs Predicted
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9Florida Institute of Technology-0.99+1.08vs Predicted
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10Embry-Riddle University-1.49+1.04vs Predicted
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11Rollins College-0.45-2.06vs Predicted
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12Rollins College-0.04-4.31vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University-0.31-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.51Jacksonville University1.5522.1%1st Place
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7.1University of South Florida0.504.6%1st Place
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6.46University of South Florida0.457.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Miami0.839.6%1st Place
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3.59Jacksonville University1.4520.2%1st Place
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6.0University of Miami0.687.7%1st Place
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7.94University of South Florida-0.163.6%1st Place
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5.16Rollins College0.9511.4%1st Place
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10.08Florida Institute of Technology-0.991.7%1st Place
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11.04Embry-Riddle University-1.491.2%1st Place
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8.94Rollins College-0.452.4%1st Place
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7.69Rollins College-0.044.2%1st Place
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8.17Jacksonville University-0.314.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew King | 22.1% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Justin | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 2.3% |
| Sara Menesale | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Long | 9.6% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Hank Seum | 20.2% | 18.5% | 17.1% | 13.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Becher | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Beatriz Newland | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 5.0% |
| Milo Miller | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Annslee Maloy | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 15.4% | 21.8% | 22.6% |
| Sunny Odom | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 47.8% |
| Zi Burns | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 10.4% |
| Milo Fleming | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 3.2% |
| Ella Lansford | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 6.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.