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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+1.88vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.20+0.94vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.70-0.72vs Predicted
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4McGill University1.06+0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Connecticut0.01+0.82vs Predicted
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6Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.71-2.37vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.21-1.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.2%1st Place
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2.94Bowdoin College2.200.2%1st Place
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2.28Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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4.52McGill University1.060.1%1st Place
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5.82University of Connecticut0.010.0%1st Place
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3.63Worcester Polytechnic Institute1.710.1%1st Place
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5.93Bates College-0.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Graef | 23.3% | 22.2% | 21.0% | 17.1% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Emily McNeil | 20.3% | 21.6% | 22.7% | 20.0% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Charles Proctor | 34.8% | 27.6% | 19.8% | 11.5% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Maxime Fecteau | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 30.6% | 20.7% | 8.0% |
| Eleanor Leonard | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 13.8% | 32.1% | 39.6% |
| Mike Brendlinger | 12.5% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 24.4% | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Ryan Lovering | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 10.2% | 27.4% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.