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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.57vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.62+7.32vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.32+7.46vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.74vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.31vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.38+0.26vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09+0.26vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+1.28vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.72-0.37vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.22vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-2.62vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.20vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.09-5.84vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.71-5.60vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.92vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.58-3.22vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.85+0.12vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.32Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.46George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.26Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.26College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.28Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.63Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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6.78St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.38Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.16University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.4Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.08SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.78University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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17.12Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
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16.67SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.5% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 5.8% | 0.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 4.3% | 0.3% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 24.7% | 9.1% | 1.4% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 29.9% | 58.1% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 6.1% | 44.3% | 38.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.