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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.53vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+4.38vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.48vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+3.18vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.82+3.22vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+1.36vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.72+1.70vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.24vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55+0.35vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.17vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.62-1.81vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-2.93vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.23+3.36vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.76vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.86vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.32-5.74vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.58-4.10vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.85-0.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.38Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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5.48U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.18University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.22Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.36College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.7Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.35Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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6.83St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.19Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.07Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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16.36SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.24University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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11.14SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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12.9University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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17.05Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.3% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 44.0% | 32.4% |
| William Gallagher | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 6.4% | 0.7% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Wade Wagner | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 24.6% | 11.7% | 2.1% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 24.0% | 63.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.