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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.59vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+7.65vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+4.58vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+2.29vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+1.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.62+3.14vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.82+1.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.62vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71-0.27vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.58+2.99vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-3.57vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.32-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.55vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-6.33vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-3.81vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.23+0.48vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College2.72-8.11vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.85-0.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.65Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.58College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.29Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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8.31Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.73Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.57George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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11.19SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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16.48SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.89Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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17.08Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 10.0% | 11.7% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 13.6% | 24.8% | 12.5% | 1.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 45.8% | 33.6% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 25.0% | 62.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.