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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.58vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28+4.74vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+3.36vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.09+3.17vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.36vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72+2.74vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.82+1.27vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-0.77vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.32+1.17vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-1.89vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55-1.58vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-2.95vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.02vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.62-5.23vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.58-2.31vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.95-4.41vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.85+0.11vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.58U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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6.36Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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7.17University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.36Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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8.74Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.23College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.17George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.42Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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9.05Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.98SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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8.77Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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12.69University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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17.11Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
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16.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 12.5% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 14.6% | 25.1% | 7.7% | 1.3% |
| William Gallagher | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 5.1% | 0.8% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 29.9% | 58.3% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 5.7% | 44.7% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.