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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.48vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+4.46vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.38+2.17vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.72+3.58vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.25vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.32+3.16vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.82+0.18vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.55+0.30vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.69vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.71-2.15vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.62-2.63vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-6.61vs Predicted
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14Washington College-0.85+3.06vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-7.23vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.05-4.82vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin1.58-4.16vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook-0.55-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.57U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.48Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.46College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.58Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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10.16George Washington University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.18Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.69University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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8.85Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.37Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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6.39St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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17.06Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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11.18SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.84University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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16.69SUNY Stony Brook-0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Wade Wagner | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Matt Cappetta | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.5% | 32.1% | 54.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 4.1% | 0.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 13.2% | 24.2% | 10.9% | 1.4% |
| Samantha Mislinski | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 5.5% | 41.2% | 42.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.