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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+5.46vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.55+7.69vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+4.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.38vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+2.29vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.72+2.71vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.62+2.12vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.13vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.71-0.29vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-3.11vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.82-2.55vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.35-5.33vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.55vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin1.58-1.45vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.57-5.73vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.05-4.69vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook-0.23-0.47vs Predicted
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18Washington College-0.85-0.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.69Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.56College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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5.38U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.29University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.71Eckerd College2.720.1%1st Place
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9.12Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.71Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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8.45Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.67Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.45University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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12.55University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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9.27George Washington University2.570.0%1st Place
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11.31SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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16.53SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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17.07Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.4% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam McCarthy | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Gallagher | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.5% | 5.4% | 0.8% |
| Noah Janssen | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 22.8% | 10.6% | 1.4% |
| Rhodes Garner | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 4.7% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 45.3% | 35.2% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 5.1% | 25.9% | 61.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.