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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.08vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.38+3.92vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.62+5.66vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.95+6.95vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.82+2.86vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+1.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.60vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+0.67vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.72-0.51vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.09-3.11vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.71-2.49vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.28-5.63vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.23+2.49vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-7.78vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-4.40vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.58-3.83vs Predicted
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17Washington College-0.85-0.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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5.92Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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10.95University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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7.86Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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7.2College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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8.67Stanford University2.550.1%1st Place
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8.49Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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8.51Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.280.1%1st Place
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15.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.230.0%1st Place
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6.22Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.6SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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12.17University of Wisconsin1.580.0%1st Place
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16.33Washington College-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 15.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Floyd | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| William Gallagher | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 16.1% | 15.6% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
| Dreugh Phillips | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Paris Henken | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Martina Sly | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Liam McCarthy | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Lithen | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 7.7% | 47.8% | 32.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 4.7% | 0.5% |
| Noah Janssen | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 25.1% | 10.3% | 2.0% |
| Morgan Farber | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 25.2% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.