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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Alexander O'Grady 55.9% 24.6% 11.5% 5.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Noah Rosenthal 5.5% 11.5% 18.0% 19.3% 17.2% 15.3% 7.8% 4.3% 1.1%
Ryan Clulo 6.8% 13.2% 14.4% 16.1% 18.7% 15.8% 9.5% 4.5% 1.0%
Korbin Kierstead 11.7% 18.1% 19.1% 19.7% 14.0% 10.1% 5.6% 1.1% 0.6%
Colton Gerber 11.8% 19.0% 18.9% 15.8% 15.4% 9.7% 5.9% 2.8% 0.7%
Jacob Dannhausen-Brun 2.9% 4.5% 7.0% 9.2% 10.4% 16.7% 22.5% 17.5% 9.3%
Michael Valverde 2.4% 4.5% 6.1% 6.7% 10.8% 16.9% 20.8% 21.8% 10.0%
Austin Lee 1.9% 2.9% 3.1% 4.2% 8.2% 10.5% 16.7% 27.7% 24.8%
Stephane Vinet 1.1% 1.7% 1.9% 3.3% 3.6% 4.5% 11.1% 20.3% 52.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.