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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College3.06+0.75vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.24+2.36vs Predicted
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3Marquette University1.11+1.41vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.46-0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Michigan1.44-1.25vs Predicted
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6University of Illinois0.16+0.03vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota0.08-0.78vs Predicted
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9Western Michigan University-0.43-2.00vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago-1.05-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.75Lake Forest College3.060.6%1st Place
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4.36Northwestern University1.240.1%1st Place
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4.41Marquette University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.68University of Wisconsin1.460.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Michigan1.440.1%1st Place
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6.03University of Illinois0.160.0%1st Place
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6.22University of Minnesota0.080.0%1st Place
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7.0Western Michigan University-0.430.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Chicago-1.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 55.9% | 24.6% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Rosenthal | 5.5% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 19.3% | 17.2% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Clulo | 6.8% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Korbin Kierstead | 11.7% | 18.1% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Colton Gerber | 11.8% | 19.0% | 18.9% | 15.8% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Jacob Dannhausen-Brun | 2.9% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 16.7% | 22.5% | 17.5% | 9.3% |
| Michael Valverde | 2.4% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 20.8% | 21.8% | 10.0% |
| Austin Lee | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 16.7% | 27.7% | 24.8% |
| Stephane Vinet | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 11.1% | 20.3% | 52.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.